The New England Patriots (13-4) reached the Conference Championship Game after a 35-31 win over the Baltimore Ravens in last week’s playoff game. The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 games, including playoffs. Their only home loss this season came against the Buffalo Bills in week 17 in a more or less meaningless game.
The Indianapolis Colts (13-5) made it to the penultimate playoff round with two convincing wins over the Cincinnati Bengals and at the Denver Broncos. The Colts won 7 of their last 8 games, including playoffs and were 5-3 on the road in the regular season
Both teams met in week 11, with the New England Patriots winning 42-20 at Indianapolis.
Why the New England Patriots will win
Last week QB Tom Brady had to take matters into his own hands because of an early 14-point deficit. He will be tempted to test how healthy Indianapolis’ CB Greg Toler (groin) and CB Vontae Davis (knee) are but it’s the running game that will set up New England’s passing offense.
Indianapolis’ QB Andrew Luck will struggle unless he is extremely aware and accurate. New England’s pass defense will have the right answers.
New England’s run defense will be able to contain RB Dan “Boom” Herron and force Andrew Luck to win it for the Colts.
Essentially, New England’s receivers will be too much to handle for Indianapolis’ cornerbacks.